【漫步人生】基金经理岁晚收炉

港股在29个交易日内,创历史地大幅飙升约5200点,然后进入消化调整期;临近圣诞及新年长假期,基金经理岁晚收炉,港股近期波幅收窄,成交亦见缩减,假期气氛十分浓厚,准备迎接平安的圣诞节及新的一波牛市。

相反,乌克兰战火越演越烈:俄罗斯已集结五六十万大军于乌东乌南地区,有大举进攻之势;12月7日,普京说全球核战的机率上升,俄罗斯的核武是阻止核战的制约力量,又说俄罗斯不会首先使用核武,只会反击。12月9日,普京似改变立场,说正考虑会否仿效美国的先发制人战略,用超高音速导弹来保卫国土,这便可能包括动用核武了。俄军表示圣诞不停战,大战会否在圣诞前后爆发?如是,这个圣诞节就不平安了!

现货金有望升破1827美元

执笔时,现货黄金处近五个月高位,报每盎司1815美元,反映今年实金需求增加、通胀高企及美元近期的弱势。年线走势图呈现「十字阴星」待变,还有六个交易日就告别2022年,日线及周线图走势都偏强,如果有新的利好消息入市,笔者认为现货金可以升破1827美元,扭转图表型态为「十字阳星」,完成2022年的走势,有利明年走势再次上试2000美元!

 

元库资产管理部董事总经理史理生

reasonsee3@hotmail.com

 

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